Adam Hayes, Ph.D., CFA, is a financial writer with 15+ years Wall Street experience as a derivatives trader. Besides his extensive derivative trading expertise, Adam is an expert in economics and ...

Scenario analysis is a useful tool to get a sense of what long-term expectations are implied by any given stock price. Discounted cash flow models used improperly can cause overconfidence and a false ...

In recent years, high inflation and global conflict busted economist predictions. How well are your funds or portfolios prepared to weather market surprises? Scenario analysis can help portfolio ...

The authors propose conducting a scenario analysis for interventions to treat rare diseases by varying health plan size to demonstrate the variability of potential budget impact. Scenario analyses of ...

Last month, we used Goal Seek to determine the most reasonable mortgage payment within a specific budget. This month, we continue with the mortgage example using Scenario Manager. We’ll generate a ...

GIC, Singapore's sovereign wealth fund, updated its climate scenario analysis to include a fourth scenario of a 2-3 degrees Celsius outcome and the impact of climate risks on inflation that is the ...

Operational risk scenario analysis has existed for a long time. Why is it under more scrutiny now? Patrick Naim, Elseware: I wouldn’t describe it as scrutiny so much as more ambitious objectives for ...

Like medieval merchants clinging to flat-earth maps, today's businesses risk purgatory in a climate-changing world by misusing scenario analysis. Here are seven common mistakes that undermine climate ...